Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Where da' Grouth?!?!?!!?!?!!?



“Duh!  Where da’ grouth,  in dis here economie!!”

 Say da’  brain-dead EMM *  on the financial Roo’s stream of useless and empty commentary in the columns on today’s Yahoo!! 

Can they spell KONDRATIEFF? 

US Growth Isn’t Accelerating as Analysts Expected

Market Realist
By Russ Koesterich, CFA of BlackRock 18 hours ago
“.. Russ explains why today’s economic environment, characterized by monetary stimulus meant to combat slower-than-expected economic growth, is helping many of the large, global financial firms.
“There is more evidence from the world’s largest economies that global economic growth is not accelerating as expected.
“In the United States, March retail sales, industrial production and housing figures all disappointed, and the persistent softness in U.S. economic data means the United States will struggle to hit the 3% annual growth rate that investors had expected at the beginning of the year. Meanwhile, first quarter growth in China decelerated to 7%, the slowest pace in six years. …”

Now. If you do  need some great 'laffs' this AM, you can go and read the rest of their empty palaver on today’s YAHOO.

Or you can learn why there is no ‘grouth’, and read our free Blogs over the last 4 years, or subscribe to our services.

* EMM = EcnoMystical Mystic (Go to the bottom of our home page for full list of our handy-dandy acronyms

Tuesday, April 28, 2015

FED adjusting phony GDP




Re:  FED recalculates US GDP for 1st Qtr 2015 at bottom of these comments, as in take a look at the FED’s own new charts!!!!

We have been predicting for the last six years, (March 2009) that due to the onslaught of the ‘Kondratieff Three Wave Tsunami’ the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will continue shrinking into the 2035 to 2040 era, with yet TWO MORE Deflationary (as in economic activity and NOT prices) Waves ahead of us.

And, in point of fact, the US GDP has never been in the black (growing) ever since the Credit –Crisis 0f 2007/08, despite all the MSM reporting to the contrary!

And to understand how this can be the actual reality that is in direct confrontation to that reported in the MSM PORE ‘Stream of Crap’ that is watched everyday on the Sheeple’s FV’s, one must understand that the real US has been in a tailspin ever since the mid 1980’s when all the inflation gauges were horribly tampered with to allow for the insane policies of Reagonomics to be installed:  this was done so that the deaf, dumb and blind Sheeple would never understand that their economy would be in a perpetual state of shambles --- thereafter.

How was this macabre plan of devolution effected?

Well, the market basket of goods analysis was dropped in favor of computer generated algorithms, i.e. garbage in = garbage out.

So, nobody is monitoring the cost of what the average American is purchasing to stay alive.

For instance, have you noticed the escalating price of screws, nails, plastic lock-ties, crackers, cereal, bread, donuts, all baked goods, cosmetics, magazines, newspapers, cookies (Girl Scout?), asphalt shingles, apples, walnuts, plywood, Graham Crackers, windshield wipers, brake shoes (pads), Silicone Sealant, glue, razor blades, meat, canned vegetables, Dairy Products, crap food at fast food joints, garbage cans, candy bars, soft drinks, home insurance, paper, toilet paper, bleach, sponges, tolls, speeding & parking tickets, auto repair tickets, etc., etc., etc., etc., etc???

And don’t tell me about gasoline; that is a ‘red herring’ that is soon going to explode in price when the reality of the HORROR of Fracking truly sets in, i.e. can you spell Aquifer, as in horribly contaminated WATER and can you spell Richter as increasing   EARTHQUAKES!!

And by the by, we are talking about a ‘Market Basket of Goods’ necessary to stay alive:  and that necessarily is everything – not just gas.

Why is this important to accurate calculations of the US GDP?

Well the inflation rate is a primary element (perhaps THE) in the calculation of the GDP.  In other words if the real inflation is high, then GDP will necessarily be lower than when the real inflation rate is low!!!!

So, by reporting low inflation rates the US GDP can be reported as much, much higher than it really is!!

We are told every day on our FV’s that the inflation rate is 1.5% to 2.25%, and going lower; when in fact – IMO – it is actually around 9.5 to 13% and going much, much higher!!!!!!

Translation?

Well, rather than a US GDP that is positive by 2.5 to 4% per quarter, we are actually experiencing a US GDP that is actually SHRINKING by roughly 5 to 7% every quarter, year after year.

And now, guess what ?

The reality is starting to sink into the heads of the Sheeple; so, the, FED is just starting to mess with the numbers – just a little – to try to create the impression that they are on top of the reality of this Shrinking US economy!!

Look at this latest Atlanta FED calculation of 0% US GDP!!!

So, now with the truth being unveiled, the pumpkin heads, nincompoops, charlatans, in the EMM community will have to start thinking!!

Wow!!

For a rehash of all our handy-dandy acronyms, like FV for Funny Visions and EMM for EconoMystical Mystic– go to the bottom of our homepage at www.polestarcomm.com.


Friday, April 17, 2015

Understanding Unemployment

Understanding unemployment


Believe it  or not, an exchange between Abbot and Costello will give you one of the best explanations of our current situation, in this country, regarding the reported employment, unemployment and out-of-work numbers that have been confusing everybody for so many years.



 
COSTELLO: I  want to talk about the unemployment rate in America .

ABBOTT: Good Subject.  Terrible Times. It's 7.8%.

COSTELLO:  That many people are out of work?

ABBOTT: No,  that's 14.7%. 

COSTELLO: You just said 7.8%.

ABBOTT:  7.8% Unemployed.

COSTELLO:  Right 7.8% out of work. 

ABBOTT: No, that's 14.7%.

COSTELLO:  Okay, so it's 14.7% unemployed.

ABBOTT: No, that's 7.8%. 

COSTELLO:  WAIT A MINUTE.  Is it 7.8% or 14.7%? 

ABBOTT: 7.8%  are unemployed. 14.7% are out of work. 

COSTELLO: If  you are out of work you are unemployed. 

ABBOTT: No,  Congress said you can't count the "Out of  Work" as the unemployed.  You have to look for work to be unemployed.

COSTELLO: BUT THEY ARE OUT OF WORK!!! 

ABBOTT: No, you miss his point.

COSTELLO:   What point?

ABBOTT:  Someone who doesn't look for work can't be counted with those who look for work. It wouldn't be fair. 

COSTELLO: To whom?

ABBOTT: The unemployed. 

COSTELLO: But ALL of them are out of work. 

ABBOTT: No, the unemployed are actively looking for work. Those who are out of work gave up looking and if you give up, you are no longer in the ranks of the unemployed. 

COSTELLO: So if you're off the unemployment roles that would count as less unemployment?

ABBOTT:  Unemployment would go down. Absolutely!

COSTELLO: The unemployment  just goes down because you don't look for work?

ABBOTT:   Absolutely it goes down. That's how it gets to 7.8%. Otherwise it would be 14.7%.

COSTELLO:  Wait, I got a question for you. That means there are two ways to bring down the unemployment number? 

ABBOTT: Two ways is correct.

COSTELLO:   Unemployment can go down if someone gets a job?

ABBOTT:   Correct.

COSTELLO: And unemployment can also go down if  you stop looking for a job?

ABBOTT:  Bingo. 

COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment down, and the easier of the two is to have people stop looking for  work.

ABBOTT: Now you're thinking like an Economist. 

COSTELLO: I  don't even know what the hell I just said! 

ABBOTT: Now you're thinking like a Politician.